Trump campaign rallies led to more than 30,000 coronavirus instances, Stanford researchers say

U.S. President Donald Trump addresses supporters at a campaign rally exterior Raymond James Stadium on October 29, 2020 in Tampa, Florida.

Paul Hennessey | NurPhoto | Getty Images

President Donald Trump‘s campaign rallies led to more than 30,000 coronavirus instances, in accordance to a brand new paper posted by researchers at Stanford.

Researchers checked out 18 Trump rallies held between June 20 and Sept. 22 and analyzed Covid-19 information the weeks following every occasion. They in contrast the counties the place the occasions have been held to different counties that had an analogous trajectory of confirmed Covid-19 instances prior to the rally date. Out of the 18 rallies analyzed, solely three have been indoors, in accordance to the analysis.

The researchers discovered that the rallies in the end resulted in more than 30,000 confirmed instances of Covid-19. They additionally concluded that the rallies probably led to more than 700 deaths, although not essentially amongst attendees.

The researchers mentioned the findings help the warnings and proposals of public well being officers regarding the danger of Covid-19 transmission at massive group gatherings, “particularly when the degree of compliance with guidelines concerning the use of masks and social distancing is low.”

“The communities in which Trump rallies took place paid a high price in terms of disease and death,” mentioned B. Douglas Bernheim, chairman of Stanford’s economics division and a lead creator of the paper, wrote.

The paper, which has not undergone a peer evaluate but, was revealed on open entry preprint platform SSRN.

In response to the paper, Trump campaign spokesperson Courtney Parella mentioned, “Americans have the right to gather under the First Amendment to hear from the President of the United States.”

“We take strong precautions for our campaign events, requiring every attendee to have their temperature checked, providing masks they’re instructed to wear, and ensuring access to plenty of hand sanitizer. We also have signs at our events instructing attendees to wear their masks,” she added.

A spokesperson for Joe Biden’s campaign issued a press release after the paper posted, saying, Trump is “costing hundreds of lives and sparking thousands of cases with super spreader rallies that only serve his own ego.”

“The worst part is that this doesn’t even capture Trump’s many superspreader events on White House grounds or the last five weeks of events across the country. How many more lives have been upended in that time? How many more empty seats are there at kitchen tables across America because of Donald Trump’s ego?” spokesperson Andrew Bates mentioned.

The researchers mentioned they’d to overcome “significant challenges,” acknowledging that the dynamics of Covid-19 are “complex,” and “even the most superficial examination of the data reveals that the process governing the spread of Covid-19 differs across counties.”

The new analysis comes because the coronavirus continues to quickly unfold throughout the United States. The U.S. continued to set new highs for infections this week, with Friday marking a file 99,321 each day new instances, bringing the seven-day common of each day new instances to a brand new excessive at 78,738, a CNBC evaluation of information from Johns Hopkins University confirmed. 

Trump has typically been criticized for holding in-person rallies, typically with tens of hundreds of individuals, throughout a pandemic. He has sought to downplay the virus, typically tying the rise in Covid-19 instances to more testing. But public well being officers and infectious illness specialists dispute that declare, saying the speed of assessments that come again constructive and hospitalizations are additionally on the rise.

Dr. Anthony Fauci, the nation’s main infectious illness professional, mentioned Friday that the U.S. is reporting an “extremely excessive and fairly unacceptable” each day variety of instances forward of the winter season when individuals might be spending more time indoors.

“We’re in a precarious position over the next several weeks to months,” Fauci informed SiriusXM’s “Doctor Radio Reports,” calling on individuals to proceed carrying face masks, social distance and spend time outside over indoors as a lot as doable.

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