The source of the Biden campaign’s ‘Sun Belt’ confidence

RealClearPolitics affiliate editor and columnist A.B. Stoddard broke down why the Biden marketing campaign “has Sun Belt confidence” in an election night time interview on CNBC’s “The News with Shepard Smith.”

“The Biden camp has confidence in Georgia because of what Stacey Abrams managed to achieve when she ran for governor in 2018, just losing by 55,000 votes,” mentioned Stoddard. “Since then, she registered 800,000 new voters, really pushing that state into a new electorate.”

Stoddard famous the report turnout amongst African-American voters over the age of 65 in battleground states, together with Georgia. NBC News classifies Georgia as a toss up state, and it’s traditionally crimson. Mitt Romney beat former President Barack Obama there in 2012 by nearly eight factors. President Donald Trump beat Hillary Clinton in Georgia 4 years in the past by 5 factors. The state is altering, nevertheless, and there’s a rising prosperous and numerous inhabitants in suburban Atlanta that places it into play for Democrats.

Former US Representative and voting rights activist Stacey Abrams speaks at a Get Out the Vote rally with former US President Barack Obama as he campaigns for Democratic presidential candidate former Vice President Joe Biden on November 2, 2020, in Atlanta, Georgia.

Elijah Nouvelage | AFP | Getty Images

Kamala Harris rallied voters two instances in the Atlanta metro space, whereas Joe Biden delivered his closing speech in Warm Springs, Georgia. Obama rallied in Atlanta yesterday.

Stoddard defined one other constructive signal for the Biden marketing campaign in the South — the 600% enhance in turnout in the youth vote in Texas by the shut of enterprise Wednesday of final week. Not solely was it excellent news for Biden, but additionally for “democratic tickets all the way down the ballot, and not a good sign for President Trump.” 

According to Stoddard, Trump and the RNC have successfully energized voters in Florida in a means that the Biden marketing campaign and the Democratic Party haven’t. She pointed to the RNC’s efficient messaging that led to 2018 when Republicans gained closely in the midterms, each at the senate and gubernatorial ranges. 

“Cuban voters came out very strongly in 2018, but are now very energized about the issue of socialism and Venezuela, and they’ve [the Trump Campaign and RNC] been messaging that very effectively,” mentioned Stoddard. “It is true that the numbers among non-white voters, especially Black and Latino men in the Miami-Dade area, have been concerning to the Democratic Party for months, because they are not energized.”

Stoddard mentioned, nevertheless, the Biden campaign’s silver lining in Florida is that they’re selecting up senior voters “who are abandoning President Trump in droves.”   

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